Williamson County Inventory Signals Buyer Leverage in Fall

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 103 W Beaumont, Thrall TX 76578 · MLS #6216319 · Listed by Rustic Oak Real Estate. ALEX valuation $413,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $325,000 103 W Beaumont, Thrall TX 76578 · MLS #6216319 Listed at $299,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,897 sq ft. Listed 27% below the ALEX valuation; 46% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188370396/103-W-Beaumont-Thrall-TX Lower-middle quartile: $325,000 to $408,000 252 Benmyrtle TRL, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #4138843 Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,219 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183084190/252-Benmyrtle-TRL-Georgetown-TX Upper-middle quartile: $408,000 to $550,000 1002 Ridge Runner DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #8427339 Listed at $415,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,023 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183044438/1002-Ridge-Runner-DR-Georgetown-TX Upper quartile: $550,000 and up 604 Lightstone DR, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #4127412 Listed at $659,694, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,792 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1174392201/604-Lightstone-DR-Georgetown-TX

Key figures · Williamson County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

5,994 homes sold in Williamson County in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 8.5% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $408,000 (down 3.3% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $195.

Median days on market: 43.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.5%.

4,214 homes for sale now, about 4.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Is Williamson County finally tipping in favor of buyers? The market now holds 4.16 months of inventory based on 5,994 closed sales over the last six months, a figure that moves the region from a seller's advantage into balanced territory where buyers gain leverage. Months of inventory measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current pace of sales. A reading below four months typically favors sellers, while anything above four months indicates a shift toward buyer conditions. Williamson County has climbed from 3.6 months in the prior six-month period to 4.16 months today, driven by a 29% increase in new listings compared to the same window last year. This expansion in supply coincides with a 7.5% rise in median days on market compared to the same period last year, now standing at 43 days. While prices remain resilient with a median close of $408,000, the increased time on market and higher inventory levels suggest negotiations are becoming more favorable for purchasers. The share of homes selling below original list price has also declined slightly compared to last year, yet the overall supply dynamic is clearly shifting. ALEX Intelligence calculates this balance by dividing the current active inventory of 4,214 listings by the average monthly sales rate derived from the trailing six months. As long as new construction and existing home availability continue to outpace absorption rates, buyers can expect more time to evaluate options and negotiate terms in this expanding market. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951