| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Kyle vs. Neighbors: The Supply Gap in Paloma Lake
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $435,000
3360 Amerigo PL, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #8237276
Listed at $408,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,268 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190247878/3360-Amerigo-PL-Round-Rock-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $435,000 to $505,000
2929 Consuelo WAY, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #9062535
Listed at $435,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,141 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190872459/2929-Consuelo-WAY-Round-Rock-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $505,000 to $605,000
2944 Saint Federico WAY, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #2992647
Listed at $585,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,253 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191521265/2944-Saint-Federico-WAY-Round-Rock-TX
Upper quartile: $605,000 and up
2593 Los Alamos PASS, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #9042267
Listed at $650,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,683 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 7% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191052794/2593-Los-Alamos-PASS-Round-Rock-TX
Key figures · Paloma Lake · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 48 homes sold in Paloma Lake in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 4.0% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $496,042 (down 5.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $188.
- Median days on market: 33.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.4%.
- 20 homes for sale now, about 3.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is there more inventory coming to Paloma Lake than is being absorbed? The data shows a widening supply gap where new listings outpaced closings. Over the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, 90 new homes entered the market while only 48 closed sales occurred. This imbalance suggests that for every home sold, nearly two more were added to the active pool.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of supply and demand events to quantify this gap. The ratio of new listings to closings indicates a shift in market dynamics compared to the prior period. While 90 new homes were listed, the volume of closed transactions dropped slightly from 50 in the previous rolling window to 48. This divergence means active inventory is likely accumulating faster than it is being removed by sales.
The median close price for these 48 transactions was $496,042, down 5.2% from the prior period. As new supply enters at a higher rate than demand clears it, buyers may find more options to choose from. The market is currently defined by this flow of fresh listings against a steady but slightly lower volume of completed sales.
This analysis relies on Unlock MLS data for single-family homes in Paloma Lake, where prices are net of seller-paid concessions. The sample size of 48 closed sales provides a baseline for understanding the current supply-demand balance in this specific community.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=48 closed, n=90 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










