| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Paloma Lake: Is It a Buyer's or Seller's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-08
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $432,000
2704 Santa Ana LN, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #2368886
Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,009 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184423809/2704-Santa-Ana-LN-Round-Rock-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $432,000 to $496,000
2772 Santa Ana LN, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #6586093
Listed at $450,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,407 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189852145/2772-Santa-Ana-LN-Round-Rock-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $496,000 to $601,000
2709 Belicia LN, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #6459200
Listed at $538,500, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,866 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518793/2709-Belicia-LN-Round-Rock-TX
Upper quartile: $601,000 and up
2927 San Milan PASS, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #8992857
Listed at $659,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,240 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519509/2927-San-Milan-PASS-Round-Rock-TX
Key figures · Paloma Lake · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 48 homes sold in Paloma Lake in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 4.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $496,500 (down 5.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $190.
- Median days on market: 27.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.4%.
- 18 homes for sale now, about 3.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many months of homes are available for sale in Paloma Lake? The answer is 3.48 months, a figure calculated by dividing the current active inventory of 18 homes by the average monthly sales pace of roughly five homes over the last year. This metric helps determine whether buyers or sellers currently hold the advantage in negotiations.
In real estate analytics, a market with less than six months of inventory is generally considered a seller's market, while more than six months indicates a buyer's market. A figure between 4 and 6 months typically signals a balanced market where neither side has overwhelming leverage. At 3.48 months, Paloma Lake sits just below the traditional balance threshold, suggesting a slight tilt toward sellers, though the gap is narrow.
This inventory level coincides with a cooling in prices. The median closed sale price dropped to $496,500, down 5.4% compared to the prior rolling period and the same window last year. Additionally, 79.2% of homes sold below their original list price, up from 68% previously. While inventory remains tight enough to prevent a buyer's market classification, the combination of lower prices and more deals closing under asking suggests buyers are gaining some negotiating power in this specific subdivision.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition based on the ratio of active listings to closed sales. The data indicates that while demand is steady with 48 closed sales over the trailing year, supply constraints are easing slightly as new listings continue to arrive. Buyers should expect a competitive environment but may find more room for price adjustments than in previous years.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=48
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










