Mayfield Ranch Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-19
Key figures · Mayfield Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 61 homes sold in Mayfield Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 3.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $550,000 (up 2.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $209.
- Median days on market: 22.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.9%.
- 35 homes for sale now, about 3.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Mayfield Ranch today? For the bottom quartile of sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the median price sits at $550,000 across 61 closed sales. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in this master-planned community during the analysis window.
ALEX Intelligence applied an affordability index to these entry-level transactions using current market rates. Based on a 7.32% mortgage rate from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of October 22, 2026, the principal and interest payment for a median-priced entry home is approximately $3,022 per month. This calculation isolates the cost of borrowing to show how rate levels impact monthly cash flow for buyers in this price bracket.
The data shows that homes in this entry tier are moving faster than in the prior six-month period. Median days on market dropped by 62.7% compared to the previous window, falling from 59 days to 22 days. This acceleration suggests that while prices remain elevated relative to the prior period, demand for affordable inventory within Mayfield Ranch is currently strong.
Buyers should note that the median price per square foot for these entry-level homes is $209. This metric helps contextualize value against the broader market, where the median price per square foot was $198 in the prior period. The combination of lower days on market and stable price-per-squarefoot figures indicates a competitive environment for first-time buyers or those seeking smaller footprints in this specific community.
The analysis relies on 61 closed sales to establish the entry-level baseline, ensuring the affordability metrics reflect actual transaction outcomes rather than listing prices alone.
Shopping in Mayfield Ranch? Tell us what you want and we'll send matching homes as they list.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=61
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




