Forest Creek: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Year

In Forest Creek, the balance between new supply and buyer demand has shifted over the last year. A total of 106 single-family homes were newly listed while 59 sales closed, creating a visible gap between inventory entering the market and homes leaving it. This analysis uses a rolling 12-month window ending October 31, 2026, to capture the most current trend without relying on a single month's volatility. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis relationship between new listings and closed sales to quantify this supply gap. The data shows that for every home sold, nearly two new homes were added to the active inventory pool during this period. This dynamic has contributed to an increase in the share of homes selling below their original list price, which rose by 25.2% compared to the prior six-month window. The median days on market also shortened significantly, dropping 25.5% year-over-year to 38 days, even as the volume of new listings outpaced closings. While the median close price dipped 7.8% from the prior period to $536,760, the steady flow of new supply suggests a market where buyers have more options than in previous cycles. This pattern indicates that while sales activity remains robust, the rate at which inventory accumulates is currently exceeding the absorption rate. The sample size for this analysis includes 59 closed sales and 106 new listings, providing a statistically significant view of the local supply dynamics. The data reflects single-family homes with prices net of seller-paid concessions, ensuring an accurate comparison of market value trends. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog