Forest Creek: How Mortgage Rates Shape Buying Power This Fall

Deal of the Week

3924 Links LN, Round Rock TX 78664
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $430,000 3924 Links LN, Round Rock TX 78664 · MLS #4659770 Listed at $374,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,166 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184408444/3924-Links-LN-Round-Rock-TX Lower-middle quartile: $430,000 to $541,000 100 Sandy Lyle CV, Round Rock TX 78664 · MLS #9732365 Listed at $515,800, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,216 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183355860/100-Sandy-Lyle-CV-Round-Rock-TX Upper-middle quartile: $541,000 to $676,000 3959 Lord Byron CIR, Round Rock TX 78664 · MLS #3117287 Listed at $665,000, 4 bed, 4 bath, 4,062 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175592740/3959-Lord-Byron-CIR-Round-Rock-TX Upper quartile: $676,000 and up 4013 Harvey Penick DR, Round Rock TX 78664 · MLS #9318775 Listed at $699,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,834 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179231935/4013-Harvey-Penick-DR-Round-Rock-TX

Key figures · Forest Creek · rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for buyers in Forest Creek today? With the median closed price at $540,850 across 51 sales over the trailing 12 months, monthly payments are sensitive to every basis point. A standard 30-year fixed loan with 20% down on that median price yields a principal-and-interest payment of $2,972 per month. ALEX Intelligence modeled how temporary rate buydowns affect affordability for this specific price point. A 3-2-1 buydown reduces the note rate to 4.32% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $826 and saving $9,912 that year. The total cost of this buydown is $20,136, or 3.72% of the median sale price. A 2-1 buydown offers a smaller reduction for a monthly saving of $564 in year one, at a total cost of $10,224 (1.89% of price). These figures show that while rates are elevated, structured concessions can temporarily lower the entry barrier. The data reflects current market conditions where 88% of sales closed below original list prices and median days on market have risen to 40 days. Buyers should weigh the upfront cost of a buydown against their long-term rate expectations and cash flow needs. The mortgage rate source is Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, 30-year fixed, week of October 22, 2026 (FRED MORTGAGE30US). All model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026; mortgage rates from Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov