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Santa Rita Ranch: New Listings Outpace Closings in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-01
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $440,000
821 FAITH DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8423223
Listed at $425,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,248 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521917/821-FAITH-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $440,000 to $550,000
241 Blue Summit BND, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #4720273
Listed at $494,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,725 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520108/241-Blue-Summit-BND-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $550,000 to $675,000
225 Montecido DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #4244933
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,241 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184554870/225-Montecido-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $675,000 and up
142 Montecilo DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8885235
Listed at $729,273, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,108 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186524530/142-Montecilo-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Santa Rita Ranch · October 2026
- 28 homes sold in Santa Rita Ranch in October 2026 (down 34.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $552,982 (down 0.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $194.
- Median days on market: 100.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 87.1%.
- 201 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Santa Rita Ranch saw 60 new listings enter the market in October while only 28 homes closed. This imbalance between fresh inventory and completed sales defines the current supply gap for buyers and sellers in this master-planned community.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new supply versus demand to quantify the shift. With 60 new listings added against just 28 closings, the active inventory is expanding faster than it is being absorbed. This dynamic often leads to increased competition among sellers as the pool of available homes grows relative to the number of buyers closing deals.
The median days on market for these closed sales rose to 100 days, up 6.4% from September and 5.3% higher than October 2025. Meanwhile, the median close price dipped 1.3% to $552,982 across the 28 transactions. The ratio of final sale price to original list price also declined slightly, indicating that homes are spending more time on the market before settling at a lower multiple of the asking price.
This supply gap suggests a shift in leverage. As new listings accumulate faster than closings occur, buyers may find more negotiating room, while sellers face a longer path to a contract. The data reflects a market where inventory is building, altering the pace of transactions compared to the tighter conditions seen earlier in the year.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, October 2026, n=28
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










