| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Orchard Ridge Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-09
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $338,000
216 Wild Sage LN, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #7077559
Listed at $337,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,734 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184518838/216-Wild-Sage-LN-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $338,000 to $380,000
193 Fluttermill LOOP, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1896272
Listed at $341,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,956 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189244474/193-Fluttermill-LOOP-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $380,000 to $426,000
229 Majestic Cedar DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2074430
Listed at $415,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,388 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 11% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186681500/229-Majestic-Cedar-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $426,000 and up
206 Orchard Park DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3686664
Listed at $439,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,503 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180703291/206-Orchard-Park-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Orchard Ridge · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 33 homes sold in Orchard Ridge in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 2.9% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $374,950 (down 0.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $166.
- Median days on market: 79.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.4%.
- 12 homes for sale now, about 3.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Orchard Ridge today? With the median closing price at $374,950 across 33 closed sales over the last 12 months, affordability hinges on current financing costs. ALEX Intelligence calculated buying power using a standard loan structure and the prevailing 30-year fixed rate of 7.18% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey dated November 5, 2026.
At this price point, the principal and interest payment alone would be $2,032 per month. This figure represents a significant portion of household income for first-time buyers or those trading up to entry-level inventory. The data shows that 87.9% of these homes sold below their original list price, suggesting that negotiation remains a viable strategy for managing the monthly payment burden.
The market has seen a shift in home size as well. The median living area for these sales is now 2,409 square feet, which is 15.5% larger than the prior period. This increase in space does not appear to have driven prices up; instead, the median price per square foot dropped by 8.2% compared to the previous rolling window.
For buyers looking at this tier, understanding the cost of financing tools is essential. A 3-2-1 buydown could reduce the initial monthly payment to $1,463 in the first year, though it would cost approximately $13,884 upfront. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown offers a lower total cost of $7,056 while still providing relief during the early years of the loan. These options can bridge the gap between current rates and monthly budget constraints for entry-level purchasers in Orchard Ridge.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=33
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










