Orchard Ridge Median Price Drops 2.2% in Rolling Year

What does a 27.8% increase in days on market mean for Orchard Ridge sellers? Over the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, homes took an average of 69 days to sell, up from 54 days in the prior period. This shift coincides with a median closing price of $374,950, down 2.2% from the previous year's median of $383,200 across 25 closed sales. The data reveals a market where buyers have gained leverage. The share of homes selling below original list price rose to 92%, compared to 83.3% previously. While the median price per square foot dropped 8.8% to $166, the average home size sold increased by 7.2% to 2,388 square feet. This suggests buyers are seeking larger properties but negotiating harder on price. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these trends to highlight that Orchard Ridge remains a distinct market segment within Williamson County. With only 9 active listings today and 3.38 months of inventory, the supply is tight, yet the pace of sales has slowed significantly compared to the prior period. The median close-to-original list ratio also dipped to 0.931, indicating that final sale prices are increasingly settling below asking levels. For buyers, this environment offers more time to evaluate options and negotiate terms. For sellers, the data indicates a need for realistic pricing strategies to compete in a market where nearly all transactions conclude below the initial list price. The median contract-to-close timeline remains undefined due to low pending volume, but the extended days on market signal a shift toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable dynamic compared to the previous year. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog