| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Lariat: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-14
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $390,000
433 Carr DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2682213
Listed at $309,375, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,964 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186959414/433-Carr-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $390,000 to $461,000
125 Green Brush DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #9710078
Listed at $409,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188377050/125-Green-Brush-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $461,000 to $577,000
205 Rightfield DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1243744
Listed at $499,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,942 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180968723/205-Rightfield-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $577,000 and up
404 Sheepdog DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #5474601
Listed at $674,967, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,830 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176146361/404-Sheepdog-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Lariat · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 110 homes sold in Lariat in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 41.0% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $443,594 (down 6.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $178.
- Median days on market: 70.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.7%.
- 104 homes for sale now, about 5.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Lariat, homes are closing at 91.7% of their original list price on average across 110 closed sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This figure represents the median close-to-original list ratio, a metric that tracks how much of the asking price buyers ultimately pay after negotiations.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original listing prices and final sale prices to determine this trend. The data shows a shift from the prior six-month period, where homes sold for 87.7% of their original list price. This represents a 4.6% increase in the ratio compared to the previous window, suggesting that sellers are retaining more of their initial asking price than they did earlier this year.
Looking further back, the same period last year saw a ratio of 95.3%. While the current ratio is lower than that historical benchmark, the recent improvement indicates a stabilization in pricing dynamics. In this market, 90% of closed sales finished below their original list price, a figure that has decreased slightly from 91% in the prior period.
The median sale price for these homes was $443,594, with a median price per square foot of $178.17. As buyers and sellers navigate negotiations, understanding this ratio provides clarity on whether a home is priced competitively or if there is room for adjustment before an offer is accepted.
The analysis covers single-family homes where prices are net of seller-paid concessions. The sample size of 110 closed sales ensures the median figures reflect typical market behavior in Lariat during this period.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=110
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










