Lariat Market Heat Score: Speed and Price Signals
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-18
Key figures · Lariat · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 121 homes sold in Lariat in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 57.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $460,350 (up 2.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $184.
- Median days on market: 64.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.2%.
- 95 homes for sale now, about 4.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How fast are homes selling in Lariat compared to last year? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score combines speed, price performance, and inventory levels into a single gauge from 0 to 100. In the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the score reflects a market where properties moved significantly faster than in the prior period.
The median days on market dropped to 64 days across 121 closed sales, down 31.9% from the prior six-month window and 19.0% lower than the same period last year. This acceleration signals stronger demand relative to supply. Simultaneously, the median close-to-original list ratio improved to 0.922, up 3.4% from the prior period, indicating buyers are offering closer to asking prices than before.
Inventory remains a key factor in this score. With 95 active listings and 123 closed sales over six months, the market holds 4.63 months of inventory. While still above the tightest seller's market levels, the combination of faster sales and improved price realization pushes the heat metric higher than earlier in the year. The median sale price settled at $460,350, a modest 2.3% increase year-over-year despite a slight dip from the prior period.
ALEX Intelligence calculated this composite index using equal weights for days on market, sale-to-list ratio, and inventory months to reflect current local conditions. The result shows a market gaining momentum, with buyers acting more decisively and sellers seeing quicker results than in the previous six-month window.
Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected].
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=121
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




