Liberty Hill Market Heat Score: Slower Sales and Lower Prices in October

Deal of the Week

208 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $379,000 208 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322022 Listed at $289,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,720 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517889/208-Windfall-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $379,000 to $500,000 526 Lavender Crest CV, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #9937293 Listed at $389,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,708 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183474180/526-Lavender-Crest-CV-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $675,000 112 Arcilla PASS, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #7479502 Listed at $524,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,561 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184775172/112-Arcilla-PASS-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $675,000 and up 150 Oswalt WAY, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #9647492 Listed at $949,000, 5 bed, 5 bath, 4,966 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 21% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179719255/150-Oswalt-WAY-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Liberty Hill · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Liberty Hill market figures and ALEX agents

How does a Liberty Hill home sell when the market cools? In October 2026, the ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for Liberty Hill reflects a shift toward buyer leverage, driven by rising inventory and longer selling times. The composite heat score combines four key metrics: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, months of inventory, and the share of listings with price cuts. For October, the data shows 71 closed sales across a window ending Oct 31, 2026. The median home sold for $484,073, down 11.5% from the same month last year, while the median days on market climbed to 98 days, up 25.6% year-over-year. Inventory levels have increased significantly, with 479 active listings representing 4.84 months of supply. This volume pushes the market toward a buyer's balance, as evidenced by the fact that 84.5% of homes sold below their original list price. The median close-to-original-list ratio stood at 0.92, indicating that buyers are successfully negotiating discounts compared to the 0.93 ratio seen last year. ALEX Intelligence calculated this heat score using a weighted index where days on market and inventory levels carry significant weight in cooling markets. With prices softening and homes taking longer to sell, the current environment favors buyers who can wait for deals rather than sellers expecting quick premiums. The data suggests that while activity remains steady with 71 closings, the pace of transactions has slowed considerably compared to the previous year. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=71
Cover photo: Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill ("Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill, Texas (8636273076)") by Nicolas Henderson from Coppell, Texas, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov