| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Liberty Hill: Where Prices Were Cut Most in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $381,000
104 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3410337
Listed at $364,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,585 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186873111/104-Windfall-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $381,000 to $503,000
116 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3758738
Listed at $457,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183157823/116-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $503,000 to $675,000
531 Great Lawn BND, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #5138007
Listed at $645,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,765 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184839494/531-Great-Lawn-BND-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $675,000 and up
117 Oswalt WAY, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2953682
Listed at $989,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,891 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172845406/117-Oswalt-WAY-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026
- 88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $199.
- Median days on market: 76.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.
- 501 homes for sale now, about 4.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In September, 86% of homes sold in Liberty Hill went for less than the original asking price. This share rose to 86.4% from 85.9% in August and is up 4.9 percentage points compared to September 2025. The median sale price fell 7.3% to $472,400 across 88 closed sales, while the median days on market increased 8.6% to 76 days.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed listing history for subdivisions with at least five sales to identify where price reductions were most common. Santa Rita Ranch saw a 91% reduction rate among its 11 sales, followed by Butler Farms and Orchard Ridge, both at 100%. Lariat recorded an 87% reduction rate across 15 sales.
The median close-to-original list ratio dropped to 0.912, down from 0.919 in August and slightly above the 0.907 level seen last September. This indicates buyers are negotiating more aggressively on price. While the median price per square foot held steady at $199, the larger living area of 2,557 square feet suggests homes are selling with more space but at lower total prices.
The market remains active with 501 homes currently for sale, representing 4.86 months of inventory. This supply level supports continued price adjustments as sellers compete to move listings in a market where nearly nine out of ten transactions conclude below the initial list price.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=88
Cover photo: Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill ("Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill, Texas (8636273076)") by Nicolas Henderson from Coppell, Texas, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov











