| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Palmera Ridge: New Listings vs. Closings in the Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $616,000
2017 Palmera Ridge Blvd 2017 Palmera Ridge Blvd BLVD, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #9197885
Listed at $529,000, 5 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,500 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 5% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185018726/2017-Palmera-Ridge-Blvd-2017-Palmera-Ridge-Blvd-BLVD-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $616,000 to $760,000
620 Altea DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #1807471
Listed at $624,990, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3,129 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188992195/620-Altea-DR-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $760,000 to $875,000
2304 Belen DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3152340
Listed at $775,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,457 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188937557/2304-Belen-DR-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $875,000 and up
1317 Jolie Rose BND, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3599279
Listed at $974,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,199 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182994000/1317-Jolie-Rose-BND-Leander-TX
Key figures · Palmera Ridge · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 26 homes sold in Palmera Ridge in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 13.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $730,000 (up 8.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $218.
- Median days on market: 95.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.8%.
- 32 homes for sale now, about 7.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Palmera Ridge is seeing a widening supply gap as new listings outpace closings. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, 37 homes were newly listed while only 26 properties closed. This shift marks a distinct change from the prior six-month period, where 27 new listings met 40 closings.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis supply and demand trend to quantify this imbalance. The ratio of new supply to closed sales has flipped; previously, demand exceeded supply with more homes selling than entering the market. Now, the influx of 37 new listings against just 26 closings suggests inventory is accumulating faster than it is being absorbed.
This dynamic contrasts sharply with the same period last year, when 35 new listings met only 23 closings. While the gap was already present then, the current volume of new supply is higher, even as the pace of sales has slowed compared to the prior six months. The median days on market for closed homes dropped significantly from 208 days in the prior window to 95 days now, yet the sheer volume of new entries continues to outstrip the closing rate.
For buyers and sellers, this indicates a market where fresh inventory is consistently available, but the speed at which those homes move has not kept pace with the listing activity. The supply gap remains defined by the net difference between the 37 new listings and the 26 closed sales recorded in this window.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and new listing activity, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=26 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










