Bar W Ranch: List-to-Sale Ratios Improve in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

1952 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $376,000 1952 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6535568 Listed at $373,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,223 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182905170/1952-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX Lower-middle quartile: $376,000 to $405,000 1941 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3728414 Listed at $390,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,473 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182882865/1941-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX Upper-middle quartile: $405,000 to $423,000 2528 Whittler RD, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #4694580 Listed at $416,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,536 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185332275/2528-Whittler-RD-Leander-TX Upper quartile: $423,000 and up 1833 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8559922 Listed at $423,190, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,783 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185335833/1833-Dandy-Brush-DR-Leander-TX

Key figures · Bar W Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In Bar W Ranch, homes are closing closer to their original asking prices than they did in the prior six-month period. The median list-to-sale price ratio climbed to 99.2%, up from 91.1% previously and 93.7% a year ago. This metric measures how much of the original listing price buyers ultimately paid at closing, serving as a direct gauge of negotiation leverage in the market. Across 47 closed sales over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the median close price reached $409,078. This represents a 4.7% increase from the prior period and a 5.5% rise compared to the same window last year. The share of homes selling below their original list price dropped significantly to 66%, down from 82.5% previously and 93.8% a year ago, indicating that fewer sellers are accepting steep discounts. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing trends across these transactions to determine how effectively properties are meeting their initial valuation expectations. The data suggests a shift toward more balanced negotiations, with buyers paying closer to the full list price than in previous periods. This improvement coincides with a 15.6% increase in median days on market, suggesting that while prices are holding firm, inventory is moving at a slightly slower pace than before. The median price per square foot also rose by 1.1% to $183, reflecting the overall appreciation in home values within this community. With 47 closed sales providing a robust sample size, these figures offer a clear view of current market dynamics for buyers and sellers in Bar W Ranch. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling six months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=47
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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