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Bar W Ranch: List-to-Sale Ratios Improve in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-19
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $376,000
1952 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6535568
Listed at $373,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,223 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182905170/1952-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $376,000 to $405,000
1941 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3728414
Listed at $390,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,473 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182882865/1941-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $405,000 to $423,000
2528 Whittler RD, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #4694580
Listed at $416,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,536 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185332275/2528-Whittler-RD-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $423,000 and up
1833 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8559922
Listed at $423,190, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,783 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185335833/1833-Dandy-Brush-DR-Leander-TX
Key figures · Bar W Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 47 homes sold in Bar W Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 2.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $409,078 (up 5.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 37.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 99.2%.
- 37 homes for sale now, about 4.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Bar W Ranch, homes are closing closer to their original asking prices than they did in the prior six-month period. The median list-to-sale price ratio climbed to 99.2%, up from 91.1% previously and 93.7% a year ago. This metric measures how much of the original listing price buyers ultimately paid at closing, serving as a direct gauge of negotiation leverage in the market.
Across 47 closed sales over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the median close price reached $409,078. This represents a 4.7% increase from the prior period and a 5.5% rise compared to the same window last year. The share of homes selling below their original list price dropped significantly to 66%, down from 82.5% previously and 93.8% a year ago, indicating that fewer sellers are accepting steep discounts.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing trends across these transactions to determine how effectively properties are meeting their initial valuation expectations. The data suggests a shift toward more balanced negotiations, with buyers paying closer to the full list price than in previous periods. This improvement coincides with a 15.6% increase in median days on market, suggesting that while prices are holding firm, inventory is moving at a slightly slower pace than before.
The median price per square foot also rose by 1.1% to $183, reflecting the overall appreciation in home values within this community. With 47 closed sales providing a robust sample size, these figures offer a clear view of current market dynamics for buyers and sellers in Bar W Ranch.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling six months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=47
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










