Sonterra Inventory: Is It a Buyer's Market?

Deal of the Week

129 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $225,000 129 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3927256 Listed at $193,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,582 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188534011/129-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000 201 Old Stagecoach RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1512505 Listed at $238,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,202 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190431903/201-Old-Stagecoach-RD-Jarrell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $286,000 212 Druse LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #9090150 Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,887 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176394955/212-Druse-LN-Jarrell-TX Upper quartile: $286,000 and up 472 Josey Wales DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #6609843 Listed at $349,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,427 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176541279/472-Josey-Wales-DR-Jarrell-TX

Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Is Sonterra currently a buyer's or seller's market? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current homes at the current sales pace. With 4.41 months of inventory available today based on 94 active listings and 128 closed sales over the trailing six months, Sonterra has shifted into buyer territory. Typically, a market with less than six months of inventory is considered balanced or favoring sellers, while anything above that threshold gives buyers more leverage. In Sonterra, this level suggests increased negotiating power for purchasers. This shift aligns with the median closing price dropping to $255,000, down 2.1% from the prior six-month period and 5.4% lower than the same window last year. The data also shows that homes are taking longer to sell, with the median days on market rising to 69 days compared to 49 days a year ago. While 84.6% of sales closed below the original list price, indicating buyer advantage, the market remains active with 123 closed sales in the current window. ALEX Intelligence analyzes these inventory levels to determine market conditions rather than relying on subjective sentiment. For those looking to buy, this period offers more selection and potential for price negotiation compared to the tighter markets seen previously. Sellers, however, may need to adjust expectations regarding both price and time on market to secure a sale in this environment. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=128 closed sales
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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