Sonterra Market Heat Score: A Balanced View for October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-18
Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 123 homes sold in Sonterra in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 5.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $255,000 (down 5.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $143.
- Median days on market: 69.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.8%.
- 91 homes for sale now, about 4.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How does the Sonterra market feel right now? A composite heat score indicates a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a dominant advantage. This index combines four key metrics: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions.
Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, homes in Sonterra spent a median of 69 days on the market, up 40.8% from the same period last year when sales moved faster at 49 days. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 92.8%, indicating that while sellers are still receiving most of their asking price, the gap has widened slightly compared to the previous six months. Inventory remains steady with 4.27 months of supply on hand, a level typically associated with balanced conditions rather than a buyer's or seller's market.
ALEX Intelligence calculated this score by weighting these factors equally to provide a single snapshot of local momentum. The data shows that while prices have dipped slightly compared to last year, the pace of sales has slowed significantly, giving buyers more time to evaluate options without the intense pressure seen in 2025. With 123 closed sales analyzed, this score reflects a market that is cooling from its peak but remains active for those ready to transact.
Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected].
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=123 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




