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Star Ranch: Is It a Buyer's or Seller's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $346,000
252 Sage Derby DR # 90, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #4698939
Listed at $306,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,431 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187758259/252-Sage-Derby-DR-90-Hutto-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $346,000 to $386,000
1404 Augusta Bend DR, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #4842766
Listed at $349,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,028 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183893301/1404-Augusta-Bend-DR-Hutto-TX
Upper quartile: $415,000 and up
220 Castlefields ST, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #2044625
Listed at $450,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186230527/220-Castlefields-ST-Hutto-TX
Key figures · Star Ranch · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 38 homes sold in Star Ranch in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (unchanged on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $385,500 (down 10.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $178.
- Median days on market: 40.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.6%.
- 12 homes for sale now, about 2.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Star Ranch housing market currently favoring buyers or sellers? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which stands at 2.88 based on 38 closed sales over the trailing 12 months. This figure is calculated by dividing the current active listings by the average monthly closings.
ALEX Intelligence classifies markets using this gauge: less than 4 months typically indicates a seller's market, while more than 6 months suggests a buyer's market. At 2.88 months, Star Ranch sits in a balanced zone where neither side holds a decisive advantage, though the downward pressure on prices is evident.
Median close prices have fallen to $385,500, down 10.2% from the prior period and the same time last year. Homes are selling for 94.6% of their original list price, with 84.2% of sales closing below the initial asking amount. The median days on market has also dropped significantly to 40 days compared to 66 days previously, suggesting a shift in buyer urgency despite lower prices.
While inventory remains tight at just 12 active listings, the combination of reduced prices and high negotiation leverage points toward a shifting balance. Buyers are finding opportunities to negotiate, but the low supply prevents a full swing into a buyer's market.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=38
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










