| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club. |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al. |
| Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB |
| Broker · North Carolina License #367733 |
| Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456 |
| Broker · Alabama License #000178406 |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas. |
| Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog. |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Star Ranch: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $351,000
401 Fort William ST # 33, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #9327518
Listed at $299,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,681 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524276/401-Fort-William-ST-33-Hutto-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $351,000 to $388,000
228 Castlefields ST, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #1112524
Listed at $385,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,089 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184419574/228-Castlefields-ST-Hutto-TX
Upper quartile: $419,000 and up
545 Elm Green ST, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #8657166
Listed at $429,000, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,702 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187015782/545-Elm-Green-ST-Hutto-TX
Key figures · Star Ranch · rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 36 homes sold in Star Ranch in the 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 18.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $391,000 (down 9.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $177.
- Median days on market: 45.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.6%.
- 15 homes for sale now, about 3.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Star Ranch, homes are closing for less than their original list price more often than before. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 92.6% across 36 closed sales in the rolling 12 months ending September 30, 2026. This metric compares the final sale price to the first price a seller posted on the market. A ratio below 100% means buyers negotiated down from the initial ask.
This figure represents a 3.9% decline compared to the prior six-month period and is also 3.9% lower than the same window last year. The share of homes selling below their original list price rose to 83.3%, up 1.8 percentage points from the prior period. Meanwhile, the median sale price fell 9.5% to $391,000, and the median price per square foot dropped 11.9% to $177.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed these trends to show how pricing strategies are playing out in this community. The data indicates that while homes are selling, the gap between the asking price and the final contract price has widened slightly compared to earlier in the year. Sellers may need to adjust initial expectations to align with current buyer behavior.
The median days on market also improved, dropping 27.4% to 45 days, suggesting that once prices are set correctly, properties move faster. However, the lower closing ratios highlight the importance of accurate initial pricing in this market segment.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=36
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









