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Wolf Ranch: New Listings vs. Closings in the Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-30
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $525,000
308 Painted Sunset DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #2283329
Listed at $439,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,041 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524185/308-Painted-Sunset-DR-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $525,000 to $606,000
524 Alameda LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #4754860
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,023 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 24% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185550395/524-Alameda-LN-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $606,000 to $710,000
1524 Rodeo Ridge DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #6182835
Listed at $654,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,095 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1165541634/1524-Rodeo-Ridge-DR-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $710,000 and up
1802 Crimson Sunset DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #4706393
Listed at $799,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,797 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1167962646/1802-Crimson-Sunset-DR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Wolf Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 138 homes sold in Wolf Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 39.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $590,000 (down 1.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $221.
- Median days on market: 88.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 80 homes for sale now, about 3.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Wolf Ranch is currently balancing a tight supply of homes with steady demand, creating a distinct gap between new inventory and sales activity. Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the community recorded 138 closed sales while bringing 113 new listings to the market. This dual-axis view reveals that sales outpaced new supply by 25 homes during this period.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand dynamics using a rolling six-month window to smooth out monthly volatility. The data shows that while 138 homes sold, only 113 new listings were added, resulting in a net reduction of available inventory. This trend is reflected in the median days on market, which stood at 88 days compared to 126 days in the prior six-month period, indicating a faster absorption rate despite lower sales volume year-over-year.
The median close price for these transactions was $590,000, down 13.1% from the previous six months but only 1.7% below the same period last year. As new listings continue to trail closings, the market remains lean. Buyers and sellers should note that with 138 sales against 113 new entries, the supply gap is narrowing, potentially stabilizing prices in the near term as inventory levels adjust to current demand.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=138 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










