| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Saddlecreek: New Listings vs. Closings Shows Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-12
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $280,000
309 White Steppe WAY, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #5052830
Listed at $2,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,584 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 99% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191957989/309-White-Steppe-WAY-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $280,000 to $328,000
8149 Daisy Cutter XING, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #6640646
Listed at $300,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,424 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189032196/8149-Daisy-Cutter-XING-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $328,000 to $375,000
517 Rearing Mare PASS, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #2534784
Listed at $348,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,464 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 31% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191041047/517-Rearing-Mare-PASS-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $375,000 and up
513 Warlander WAY, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #2059806
Listed at $462,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 2,856 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180571406/513-Warlander-WAY-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Saddlecreek · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 36 homes sold in Saddlecreek in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 12.2% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $340,612 (down 4.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $186.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.3%.
- 21 homes for sale now, about 6.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Saddlecreek, a supply gap is forming as new inventory outpaces sales. Over the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, 54 single-family homes were listed for sale while only 36 transactions closed. This dual-axis trend reveals that new supply is entering the market faster than it is being absorbed by buyers.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between listing volume and closing activity to quantify this dynamic. The data shows a net increase in available inventory, as the count of new listings exceeds the number of closed sales by 18 homes over the analysis window. This pattern suggests that while demand remains active, the pace of new supply is currently outstripping the rate of closings.
The median close price for these 36 transactions was $340,612, with a median days on market of 60 days. The ratio of closed sales to new listings indicates a shift in balance, where the influx of fresh inventory is not immediately matched by completed purchases. This gap influences pricing dynamics and available choices for buyers looking in the Saddlecreek community.
The analysis relies on Unlock MLS data for single-family homes, with prices net of seller-paid concessions. The sample size of 36 closed sales provides a stable view of the market's absorption rate relative to new supply entry during this period.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=36 closed sales and 54 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










