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Rancho Sienna Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-26
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $392,000
212 La Grotta LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #8325565
Listed at $370,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,006 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184919952/212-La-Grotta-LN-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $392,000 to $440,000
113 Cipressi CV, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #2709052
Listed at $399,999, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,640 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1171670992/113-Cipressi-CV-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $440,000 to $555,000
211 Prato PL, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1604293
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,575 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183759754/211-Prato-PL-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $555,000 and up
104 CATANI LOOP, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #9735851
Listed at $670,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,434 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180606617/104-CATANI-LOOP-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Rancho Sienna · rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 58 homes sold in Rancho Sienna in the 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 3.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $445,000 (down 7.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $187.
- Median days on market: 51.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.7%.
- 29 homes for sale now, about 4.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Rancho Sienna today? With the bottom quartile of sales averaging $390,000 over the last 12 months, affordability hinges on current mortgage rates and down payment size.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the bottom price quartile across 58 closed sales to identify entry-level activity. The median sale price for these homes was $390,000 in September 2026. At a prevailing 30-year fixed rate of 7.32%, a buyer putting 20% down on a $445,000 home faces a principal-and-interest payment of $2,445 monthly.
The data shows that while the median entry-level price is lower than the overall market median of $445,000, the high interest rate environment significantly impacts buying power. A 3-2-1 buydown could reduce the first-year rate to 4.32%, lowering the monthly payment by $679 for that year, though it would cost approximately $16,560 upfront.
Rancho Sienna remains a distinct market segment where entry-level buyers must weigh price against financing costs. The median home size for these transactions was 2,534 square feet, suggesting that space is available but comes with a premium in the current rate climate. Buyers should consider how buydown concessions might bridge the gap between their budget and monthly obligations.
This analysis relies on ALEX Intelligence estimates based on actual closed sales data and does not constitute an appraisal or financial advice.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=58
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










