Rancho Sienna Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

212 La Grotta LN, Georgetown TX 78628
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $392,000 212 La Grotta LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #8325565 Listed at $370,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,006 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184919952/212-La-Grotta-LN-Georgetown-TX Lower-middle quartile: $392,000 to $440,000 113 Cipressi CV, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #2709052 Listed at $399,999, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,640 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1171670992/113-Cipressi-CV-Georgetown-TX Upper-middle quartile: $440,000 to $555,000 211 Prato PL, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1604293 Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,575 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183759754/211-Prato-PL-Georgetown-TX Upper quartile: $555,000 and up 104 CATANI LOOP, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #9735851 Listed at $670,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,434 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180606617/104-CATANI-LOOP-Georgetown-TX

Key figures · Rancho Sienna · rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Rancho Sienna today? With the bottom quartile of sales averaging $390,000 over the last 12 months, affordability hinges on current mortgage rates and down payment size. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the bottom price quartile across 58 closed sales to identify entry-level activity. The median sale price for these homes was $390,000 in September 2026. At a prevailing 30-year fixed rate of 7.32%, a buyer putting 20% down on a $445,000 home faces a principal-and-interest payment of $2,445 monthly. The data shows that while the median entry-level price is lower than the overall market median of $445,000, the high interest rate environment significantly impacts buying power. A 3-2-1 buydown could reduce the first-year rate to 4.32%, lowering the monthly payment by $679 for that year, though it would cost approximately $16,560 upfront. Rancho Sienna remains a distinct market segment where entry-level buyers must weigh price against financing costs. The median home size for these transactions was 2,534 square feet, suggesting that space is available but comes with a premium in the current rate climate. Buyers should consider how buydown concessions might bridge the gap between their budget and monthly obligations. This analysis relies on ALEX Intelligence estimates based on actual closed sales data and does not constitute an appraisal or financial advice. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=58
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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