| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Morningstar Market Pulse: Prices Drop 7.8% in Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-01
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $310,000
205 Northview LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1875482
Listed at $299,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,996 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187962752/205-Northview-LN-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $310,000 to $350,000
148 Mountain Valley ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #5651209
Listed at $315,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,930 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186503230/148-Mountain-Valley-ST-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $350,000 to $409,000
1009 Bright Star CV, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #3484708
Listed at $383,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,584 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183427185/1009-Bright-Star-CV-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $409,000 and up
332 Stellar Wind DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #5386171
Listed at $459,950, 5 bed, 4 bath, 2,835 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183443628/332-Stellar-Wind-DR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Morningstar · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 31 homes sold in Morningstar in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 52.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $332,000 (down 7.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $181.
- Median days on market: 35.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 37 homes for sale now, about 7.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Median home prices in Morningstar have fallen to $332,000 across 31 closed sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This represents a 7.8% decline compared to the prior six-month period and a 7.3% drop from the same window last year. While prices softened, homes are selling much faster than before, with the median days on market dropping to 35 days, down 63.2% from the previous half-year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the closing data to show that buyers and sellers are negotiating closer to the original list price. The median close-to-original list ratio rose to 95.6%, up 3.4% from the prior period, indicating a shift toward more balanced negotiations compared to the 92.5% seen previously. Despite the lower prices, the market remains active with 37 homes currently for sale and 7.16 months of inventory available.
New construction activity has slowed significantly in this community, with zero new-construction closings recorded in the current six-month window compared to 20 in the prior period. The median home size sold also decreased slightly to 1,826 square feet, down 7.8% from the previous period. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.24%, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of October 29, 2026.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=31
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










