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Carriage Hills Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-22
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower-middle quartile: $319,000 to $361,000
1901 Carriage Hills TRL, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #9817765
Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,309 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188175207/1901-Carriage-Hills-TRL-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $361,000 to $390,000
1635 Abbey LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #9322155
Listed at $387,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,886 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 37% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189294312/1635-Abbey-LN-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper quartile: $390,000 and up
2100 Coachlamp DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #7368492
Listed at $419,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,760 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179466020/2100-Coachlamp-DR-Cedar-Park-TX
Key figures · Carriage Hills · rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 58 homes sold in Carriage Hills in the 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 20.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $363,500 (down 2.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $191.
- Median days on market: 35.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 15 homes for sale now, about 2.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it cost to enter the Carriage Hills market today? The median price for entry-level homes in this Cedar Park community sits at $340,000 based on the bottom quartile of sales over the last 12 months. This figure represents the threshold for buyers seeking the most affordable options within the subdivision's recent activity.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the affordability landscape using current market rates and median pricing data. With a 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 7.32% as of late October 2026, the monthly principal and interest payment on a typical entry-level home is approximately $1,998. This calculation assumes a loan amount of $290,800 based on the median sale price of $363,500 for the broader market, though entry-level buyers often pay less.
The data shows that homes in this segment are selling at a median close-to-original list ratio of 95.6%, indicating that buyers generally negotiate slightly below the asking price. Over the rolling 12-month period ending September 30, 2026, there were 58 closed sales, providing a solid sample size for this analysis. The median living area for these homes is roughly 1,906 square feet.
While the entry-level price point remains accessible, the current interest rate environment significantly influences total monthly costs compared to previous years. Buyers should consider that a 3-2-1 buydown could reduce the initial payment by hundreds of dollars in the first year, though it adds roughly $13,548 to the closing costs. This snapshot reflects the current state of affordability for those looking to purchase in Carriage Hills.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=58
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










