| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Buttercup Creek: New Listings vs. Closings in the Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-06
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $395,000
903 Burnt Oak CT, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #3542606
Listed at $289,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,245 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187712621/903-Burnt-Oak-CT-Cedar-Park-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $395,000 to $495,000
1213 ELM FOREST DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #7460293
Listed at $439,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,576 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189523876/1213-ELM-FOREST-DR-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper quartile: $560,000 and up
1822 Nelson Ranch LOOP, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #2548486
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,956 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187972140/1822-Nelson-Ranch-LOOP-Cedar-Park-TX
Key figures · Buttercup Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 46 homes sold in Buttercup Creek in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 16.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $479,000 (down 1.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $214.
- Median days on market: 22.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.8%.
- 16 homes for sale now, about 2.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Buttercup Creek, the supply gap has narrowed to a balance point over the last six months. A total of 46 new homes were listed while exactly 46 homes closed in sales between May and October 2026. This one-to-one ratio marks a shift from previous periods where listings outpaced closings or vice versa.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new supply versus demand to determine market balance. The data shows that for every home sold, a new home entered the market during this rolling window. This equilibrium suggests inventory levels are stabilizing rather than accumulating or depleting rapidly.
The median close price for these 46 sales was $479,000, down 3.3% from the prior six-month period but up slightly in price per square foot to $214. Homes also sold faster, with the median days on market dropping 55.1% to just 22 days compared to the previous window.
While new construction sales remain at zero for this specific community segment, the flow of existing inventory matches the pace of buyer activity. With 16 active listings currently available and a two-month supply of inventory, the market remains competitive but no longer favors one side exclusively. Buyers and sellers are operating in a balanced environment where supply meets demand on a monthly basis.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=46 closed sales and 46 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









