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Buttercup Creek: List-to-Sale Ratios Explain Price Reality
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-21
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $405,000
806 Brook BND, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #9930392
Listed at $365,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,551 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189247291/806-Brook-BND-Cedar-Park-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $405,000 to $500,000
803 Brook Meadow TRL, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #5791735
Listed at $410,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,782 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188201641/803-Brook-Meadow-TRL-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $560,000
1704 Nelson Ranch LOOP, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6035137
Listed at $525,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,365 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191186446/1704-Nelson-Ranch-LOOP-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper quartile: $560,000 and up
507 Rummel Ranch RUN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #4144012
Listed at $779,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,900 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186063792/507-Rummel-Ranch-RUN-Cedar-Park-TX
Key figures · Buttercup Creek · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 46 homes sold in Buttercup Creek in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 11.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $515,000 (up 0.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $214.
- Median days on market: 16.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 97.7%.
- 18 homes for sale now, about 2.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How much of a home's original list price do buyers actually pay in Buttercup Creek? The answer lies in the list-to-sale ratio, which measures the final closing price against the initial asking price. In this master-planned community, ALEX Intelligence analyzed 46 closed sales over the last six months to reveal how pricing strategies are playing out.
The median list-to-sale ratio now stands at 97.7%, meaning homes are closing for an average of $0.977 for every dollar originally listed. This represents a 5.1% improvement compared to the prior six-month period, where the ratio was 93%. The data also shows that 67.4% of these transactions closed below the original list price, down from 93.5% in the previous window.
This shift indicates a tightening market where sellers are retaining more of their asking value. While the median close price rose 6.0% to $515,000, the improved ratio suggests that aggressive initial pricing is becoming less common or that buyer demand is allowing homes to settle closer to list values. The median price per square foot also increased by 3.9% to $214, reflecting stronger valuation across the community's 2,417-square-foot average home size.
For buyers and sellers, this ratio provides a clearer picture of negotiation leverage than price alone. A higher ratio signals that homes are selling near their asking prices, while a lower ratio suggests significant room for negotiation or overpricing in the initial listing.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=46
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










