Avery Ranch Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-18
Key figures · Avery Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 48 homes sold in Avery Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 9.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $613,125 (up 4.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $226.
- Median days on market: 19.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.8%.
- 34 homes for sale now, about 4.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Avery Ranch today? The bottom quartile of recent sales shows a median price of $613,125 across 48 closed transactions over the last six months. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in this master-planned community during the current market window.
ALEX Intelligence applied an affordability index to these figures using the current mortgage rate of 7.32% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey dated October 22, 2026. At this rate, a buyer on a median entry-level home faces a principal and interest payment of $3,369 per month based on a loan amount of $490,500. This calculation excludes taxes, insurance, and HOA fees but highlights the baseline financing cost for first-time buyers in this price bracket.
The market has seen some shifts in affordability dynamics. While the median entry-level price rose 4.8% compared to the prior six-month period, the size of homes in this tier also increased by 11.0%, with a median living area of 2,694 square feet. This suggests that buyers are paying more not just for location, but for larger floor plans even at the entry level.
Compared to the same period last year, prices have risen 4.8% while the number of sales in this tier remained relatively stable. The combination of higher rates and rising prices means monthly payments are significantly higher than they were a year ago, requiring buyers to stretch their budgets further or consider larger down payments to keep monthly costs manageable.
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Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=48
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




