Austin Southeast Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

10412 Turnbull LOOP, Austin TX 78717
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $470,000 10412 Turnbull LOOP, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #2904164 Listed at $449,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,275 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 33% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183331281/10412-Turnbull-LOOP-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $470,000 to $600,000 9001 Palmito DR, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #3027030 Listed at $548,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,411 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522109/9001-Palmito-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $600,000 to $740,000 15114 Galena DR, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #4998794 Listed at $699,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,928 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187296095/15114-Galena-DR-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $740,000 and up 604 Navigator DR, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #2597216 Listed at $899,990, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,727 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188064361/604-Navigator-DR-Austin-TX

Key figures · Austin 78717 · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does it cost to buy an entry-level home in the Southeast Austin area today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales reached $542,500 across 11 closed sales in October 2026. With a current mortgage rate of 7.11% from Freddie Mac, the monthly principal and interest payment on a loan amount of $434,000 exceeds $2,900. ALEX Intelligence applied an affordability index to these figures, calculating the payment burden for buyers entering this price tier. The data shows that while the median price per square foot remains stable at $222.06, the combination of higher rates and a 12.3% drop in median prices compared to September has shifted the landscape. Buyers are now facing a market where homes sell for 95.9% of their original list price on average, with 90.9% of sales closing below the asking price. The sample size of 11 closed transactions indicates that entry-level activity is present but thin compared to the broader region. The median living area for these sales was 2,415 square feet, which is smaller than the prior month's average of 2,886 square feet. This suggests that current entry-level inventory may consist of smaller properties or specific price points rather than a broad range of home sizes. For those considering a buydown to lower their initial payments, the data indicates a 3-2-1 buydown would cost approximately $20,016, reducing the first-year rate to 4.11%. A 2-1 buydown offers a lower upfront cost of roughly $10,176 but provides less long-term relief. These figures represent ALEX Intelligence estimates based on current market conditions and are not appraisals. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Based on 11 closed sales in the October 2026. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=11; mortgage rate from Freddie Mac, week of Nov 12, 2026.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov