Blackhawk Inventory Signals a Balanced Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-19
Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 81 homes sold in Blackhawk in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 14.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $541,000 (up 2.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $191.
- Median days on market: 42.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.2%.
- 89 homes for sale now, about 6.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Blackhawk market shifting from a seller's advantage to a balance? With 6.51 months of inventory available today, the answer is yes. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current active listings at the current pace of sales, calculated by dividing the 89 homes currently for sale by the average monthly closings of roughly 14 homes over the last six months.
In real estate terms, a market with less than four months of inventory is typically considered a seller's market, while more than six months indicates a buyer's market. At 6.51 months, Blackhawk has crossed that threshold into balanced territory. This shift is supported by 81 closed sales in the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026, with a median close price of $541,000.
The data shows a distinct change from the prior six-month period, where inventory levels were tighter and days on market were significantly higher at 88 days compared to the current 42 days. While the number of closed sales dipped slightly from 86 to 81, the median price remained stable, dropping just 1.6% to $541,000. Homes are selling faster now, but the supply has grown enough to give buyers more options and leverage.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market state based on the months of inventory metric. For sellers in Blackhawk, this balanced environment means pricing must be precise to compete with the 89 active listings. For buyers, it suggests a window where negotiation is possible without the intense pressure seen in tighter markets. The median price per square foot sits at $191, reflecting a stable valuation across the community's subdivisions.
This assessment relies on the standard definition of months of inventory as a leading indicator of market balance, derived directly from current active listings and trailing sales velocity.
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Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=81
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




