Blackhawk: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales in Rolling Six Months

In Blackhawk, homes are closing closer to their original list prices than they did in the prior six-month period. The median close-to-original list ratio reached 96.2% across 81 closed sales in the rolling window ending September 30, 2026, up from 92.5% in the preceding six months. This metric measures how much of the original asking price a seller ultimately receives at closing. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this shift. The data shows that while 81.5% of homes sold below their original list price, the gap has narrowed compared to the prior period when 90.7% of sales fell short. This improvement coincides with a median close-to-original list ratio increase of 4.0% relative to the previous six months. The median sale price for these 81 transactions was $541,000, representing a 2.0% increase compared to the same window last year. Meanwhile, the median days on market dropped significantly by 52.3%, falling from 88 days to 42 days. This suggests that properties are selling faster and with less price negotiation than before. The median price per square foot remained stable at $191, matching the level from a year ago despite the shift in sale ratios. For buyers and sellers in Blackhawk, this indicates a market where pricing strategies are becoming more aligned with final outcomes. The narrowing gap between list and sale prices reflects a stabilization in negotiation dynamics over the last half-year. Thinking of selling in Blackhawk? Ask for a free ALEX Intelligence valuation of your home. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951