| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Hills Of Bear Creek: New Listings vs. Closings in Rolling 12 Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-13
Key figures · Hills Of Bear Creek, Manchaca · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 12 homes sold in Hills Of Bear Creek, Manchaca in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 14.3% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $476,282 (up 1.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $222.
- Median days on market: 34.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.1%.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Hills Of Bear Creek, Manchaca, the balance between new supply and buyer demand shifted over the last year. A total of 22 new listings entered the market while 12 single-family homes closed in sales during the rolling 12-month period ending Oct 31, 2026. This comparison highlights a supply gap where new inventory outpaced closings by a factor of nearly two to one.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the volume of events to determine the local supply dynamic. The data shows that for every home sold, approximately 1.8 new homes were added to the market. While the median close price rose 1.8% compared to the prior period and 1.8% year-over-year, the median days on market dropped 10.5% to 34 days, suggesting that despite the higher volume of new listings, properties are moving faster than in previous periods.
The median close-to-original list ratio improved to 96.1%, up from 94.3% in the prior period and a year ago. This indicates that sellers are receiving offers closer to their initial asking prices even as the number of new listings remains steady at 22 for both the current and prior rolling windows. With only 9 active homes currently on the market, the supply remains tight relative to the recent sales velocity.
The median price per square foot also increased 1.8% to $222.16, while the average home size shrank slightly by 1.8% to 2,106 square feet. These figures reflect a market where pricing power is holding firm despite a modest increase in inventory volume.
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Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=12 closed sales and 22 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




