| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Manchaca Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-14
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $405,000
137 Hillhouse LN, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #8735705
Listed at $250,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,203 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186558627/137-Hillhouse-LN-Manchaca-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $405,000 to $437,000
13517 Larrys LN, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #1697721
Listed at $425,999, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,486 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189996446/13517-Larrys-LN-Manchaca-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $437,000 to $511,000
2004 Garretts WAY, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #5021180
Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,496 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187673319/2004-Garretts-WAY-Manchaca-TX
Upper quartile: $511,000 and up
13201 Olivers WAY, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #5259712
Listed at $515,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,932 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186306898/13201-Olivers-WAY-Manchaca-TX
Key figures · Manchaca 78652 · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 53 homes sold in Manchaca 78652 in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 6.0% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $407,081 (down 13.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $199.
- Median days on market: 47.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.4%.
- 44 homes for sale now, about 5.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Manchaca today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales is $407,081 across 53 closed sales in the rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in the area during this period.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the current mortgage environment to determine buying power for these buyers. With a 30-year fixed rate at 7.11% as of the week of Nov 12, 2026, a buyer putting 20% down on a median entry-level home faces a principal and interest payment of $2,191 per month. This baseline helps contextualize the affordability landscape for first-time buyers in this price bracket.
The market has seen shifts in recent months. Median prices for these entry-level homes are down 9.3% compared to the prior six-month period and 13.9% lower than the same window last year. Meanwhile, homes are selling faster, with median days on market dropping 36.5% from the previous period to 47 days.
Despite lower prices, the share of entry-level sales closing below original list price has risen. Currently, 88.7% of these homes sell for less than the initial asking price, a 13.7 percentage point increase from the prior six months. This suggests that while prices have softened, negotiation remains a key part of securing an entry-level property in Manchaca.
The data reflects a market where affordability is improving through price adjustments, even as financing costs remain elevated. Buyers focusing on this tier are finding more inventory relative to sales volume, with 44 active listings currently available against the recent sales pace.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=53
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










