| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Crystal Falls Inventory: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-07
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $525,000
2610 Raindance, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #5354899
Listed at $499,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,989 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186585263/2610-Raindance-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $525,000 to $704,000
2816 Homecoming, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6606476
Listed at $525,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,786 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184857925/2816-Homecoming-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $704,000 to $976,000
1825 Wolf Dancer, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #7114574
Listed at $839,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,603 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186797885/1825-Wolf-Dancer-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $976,000 and up
2700 War Wagon WAY, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8761202
Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,480 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186472491/2700-War-Wagon-WAY-Leander-TX
Key figures · Crystal Falls · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 67 homes sold in Crystal Falls in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 10.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $745,000 (up 6.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $225.
- Median days on market: 33.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.8%.
- 42 homes for sale now, about 3.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is Crystal Falls currently a buyer's or seller's market? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In Crystal Falls, that figure stands at 3.76 months based on 67 closed sales over the rolling six-month period ending October 31, 2026.
Market analysts generally classify markets with less than five months of inventory as favoring sellers, while those exceeding six months favor buyers. A reading between four and five months typically indicates a balanced market where neither side holds a distinct advantage. At 3.76 months, Crystal Falls sits just below the traditional balance threshold, suggesting a slight tilt toward sellers, though the gap is narrow.
This classification aligns with other data points in the region. Median days on market have dropped to 33 days, down 25% from the prior six-month period, indicating homes are moving faster than before. Meanwhile, median close prices rose 14.6% compared to the previous window. While inventory is tight enough to prevent a buyer's market, the rapid sales velocity suggests competition remains active for well-priced properties.
ALEX Intelligence calculates this classification by dividing the current active listing count of 42 homes by the average monthly sales volume derived from the 67 closed transactions. This metric provides a standardized gauge for market conditions independent of seasonal fluctuations. Buyers should note that while inventory is low, the market is not yet in a severe seller's territory, offering some room for negotiation compared to tighter markets with under two months of supply.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=67 closed
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










