| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Lakeside at Tessera: Months of Inventory Signal Buyer Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $384,000
8015 Purple Aster PASS, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2342420
Listed at $334,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,395 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 1% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188658212/8015-Purple-Aster-PASS-Lago-Vista-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $384,000 to $441,000
8502 Red Bottle Brush RD, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #9637903
Listed at $439,950, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,846 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183456145/8502-Red-Bottle-Brush-RD-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $441,000 to $549,000
8523 Pine Muhly DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #4460540
Listed at $499,950, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,814 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183454480/8523-Pine-Muhly-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper quartile: $549,000 and up
7801 Turnback Ledge TRL, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #7495873
Listed at $549,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,004 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185525747/7801-Turnback-Ledge-TRL-Lago-Vista-TX
Key figures · Lakeside at Tessera · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 17 homes sold in Lakeside at Tessera in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 54.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $410,000 (down 17.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 131.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.0%.
- 24 homes for sale now, about 8.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many months of housing supply does it take to shift power from sellers to buyers? In Lakeside at Tessera, the answer is 8.47 months based on the rolling six-month period ending October 31, 2026. This figure represents the time required to sell all current active listings at the current sales pace, calculated by dividing the 24 active homes for sale by the average monthly closings of roughly three homes.
ALEX Intelligence classifies a market as balanced when inventory sits between four and six months. Anything above six months indicates a buyer's market where buyers have more negotiating leverage and time to choose. The current reading of 8.47 months confirms that demand has softened relative to supply in this community. This shift is reflected in the median closing price, which dropped to $410,000, down 8.9% from the prior six-month period and 17.8% lower than the same window last year.
The pace of sales also slowed significantly compared to historical norms. While homes sold faster in previous years, the median days on market has extended to 131 days over this rolling window. This is a stark contrast to the 97 days seen in the same period last year. With prices averaging $183 per square foot and nearly all sales closing below original list prices, the data suggests that patience and strategic pricing are essential for sellers, while buyers can expect more favorable terms in this inventory-rich environment.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=17
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










