| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Kyle Market Pulse: New Listings Outpace Closings in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-11
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $332,000
21204 Santa Rosa Ave, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #1983862
Listed at $319,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,554 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186872188/21204-Santa-Rosa-Ave-Lago-Vista-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $332,000 to $420,000
3011 American DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #9179845
Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,038 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516084/3011-American-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $420,000 to $650,000
21208 Santa Rosa Ave, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #5649516
Listed at $421,999, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,179 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188334539/21208-Santa-Rosa-Ave-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper quartile: $650,000 and up
19818 Colina DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #9798241
Listed at $670,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,028 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179056179/19818-Colina-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Key figures · Lago Vista 78645 · October 2026
- 39 homes sold in Lago Vista 78645 in October 2026 (up 21.9% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $393,500 (up 3.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $214.
- Median days on market: 90.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.0%.
- 299 homes for sale now, about 7.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In October, Lago Vista posted 57 new listings against just 39 closed sales, creating a clear supply gap where fresh inventory is outpacing transactions. This imbalance means active stock is growing faster than homes are selling, with the market absorbing only about two-thirds of the new supply entering each month.
The median close price rose slightly to $393,500 across 39 closed sales, a 3.6% increase compared to the same month last year. However, the median days on market dropped 9.1% from the prior period to 90 days, suggesting that while more homes are coming online, those that do sell are moving faster than in September.
New construction activity remains low with only one closed sale this month, down from two in September and four in October 2025. The median price per square foot dipped 1.9% to $213.66, while the share of homes selling below original list price fell 14.0% compared to the prior period, indicating a slight shift toward more stable pricing despite the inventory buildup.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this supply gap. With 299 active listings today and 39 sales in October, the market is absorbing roughly 13% of its current inventory each month. This dynamic suggests buyers have more choices than in previous months, while sellers face a longer path to closing as competition for attention increases.
The data reflects a transition phase where supply is expanding faster than demand can absorb it, even as prices hold steady and sales volume climbs 21.9% year-over-year.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, October 2026, n=39 closed, n=57 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










