| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Twin Creeks: New Listings vs. Closings in the Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $600,000
2402 Powderham LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #5451588
Listed at $599,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,310 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190850830/2402-Powderham-LN-Cedar-Park-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $600,000 to $690,000
2404 Danciger LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #9307458
Listed at $613,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,109 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185725372/2404-Danciger-LN-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $690,000 to $924,000
2503 Durlston CT, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6027881
Listed at $699,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,607 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186449421/2503-Durlston-CT-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper quartile: $924,000 and up
2700 Lothian DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6934705
Listed at $994,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,820 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185508474/2700-Lothian-DR-Cedar-Park-TX
Key figures · Twin Creeks · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 29 homes sold in Twin Creeks in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 17.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $690,000 (down 4.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $224.
- Median days on market: 40.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.2%.
- 6 homes for sale now, about 2.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Twin Creeks, the balance between new supply and buyer demand has shifted slightly over the last year. Across a rolling 12-month window ending October 31, 2026, there were 29 closed sales compared to 27 new listings added to the market. This near-equal exchange suggests the community is hovering around a balanced state rather than experiencing a significant surplus or shortage of homes.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the flow of inventory against absorption rates to determine this supply gap. While the number of new listings (27) was slightly lower than the number of homes that sold (29), the difference is minimal. This dynamic often indicates that sellers are listing at a pace that roughly matches buyer activity, preventing prices from spiking or crashing due to extreme scarcity or oversupply.
The median closing price for these 29 transactions stood at $690,000, with homes spending an average of 40 days on the market before going under contract. Compared to the prior 12-month period, the time to sell increased by 66.7%, while the number of new listings dropped slightly relative to closings. This data reflects a market where inventory is being absorbed steadily without building up significantly, keeping the months of inventory at a moderate level.
For buyers and sellers in Twin Creeks, this equilibrium means that pricing strategies remain critical. With 29 homes sold against 27 new entries, the market is not favoring one side overwhelmingly, but the slight uptick in days on market suggests patience may be required for both parties to reach a deal.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and new listing activity, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=29 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










