Twin Creeks: New Listings vs. Closings in the Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

2402 Powderham LN, Cedar Park TX 78613
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $600,000 2402 Powderham LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #5451588 Listed at $599,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,310 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190850830/2402-Powderham-LN-Cedar-Park-TX Lower-middle quartile: $600,000 to $690,000 2404 Danciger LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #9307458 Listed at $613,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,109 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185725372/2404-Danciger-LN-Cedar-Park-TX Upper-middle quartile: $690,000 to $924,000 2503 Durlston CT, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6027881 Listed at $699,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,607 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186449421/2503-Durlston-CT-Cedar-Park-TX Upper quartile: $924,000 and up 2700 Lothian DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6934705 Listed at $994,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,820 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185508474/2700-Lothian-DR-Cedar-Park-TX

Key figures · Twin Creeks · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In Twin Creeks, the balance between new supply and buyer demand has shifted slightly over the last year. Across a rolling 12-month window ending October 31, 2026, there were 29 closed sales compared to 27 new listings added to the market. This near-equal exchange suggests the community is hovering around a balanced state rather than experiencing a significant surplus or shortage of homes. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the flow of inventory against absorption rates to determine this supply gap. While the number of new listings (27) was slightly lower than the number of homes that sold (29), the difference is minimal. This dynamic often indicates that sellers are listing at a pace that roughly matches buyer activity, preventing prices from spiking or crashing due to extreme scarcity or oversupply. The median closing price for these 29 transactions stood at $690,000, with homes spending an average of 40 days on the market before going under contract. Compared to the prior 12-month period, the time to sell increased by 66.7%, while the number of new listings dropped slightly relative to closings. This data reflects a market where inventory is being absorbed steadily without building up significantly, keeping the months of inventory at a moderate level. For buyers and sellers in Twin Creeks, this equilibrium means that pricing strategies remain critical. With 29 homes sold against 27 new entries, the market is not favoring one side overwhelmingly, but the slight uptick in days on market suggests patience may be required for both parties to reach a deal. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB
Broker · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456
Broker · Alabama License #000178406
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas.
Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog.
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and new listing activity, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=29 closed sales
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov