South Central Austin: Is It a Buyer's Market in October?

Deal of the Week

102 Skyloop DR, Austin TX 78745
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $400,000 102 Skyloop DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #4867970 Listed at $335,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,433 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179461586/102-Skyloop-DR-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $400,000 to $538,000 6300 Merriwood DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #2812374 Listed at $425,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,481 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175183718/6300-Merriwood-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $538,000 to $865,000 4803 Philco DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #9045959 Listed at $800,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,463 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 27% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173309950/4803-Philco-DR-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $865,000 and up 4412 Banister LN # 1, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #2369692 Listed at $995,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,601 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185920424/4412-Banister-LN-1-Austin-TX

Key figures · South Central Austin · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Is the market tipping in favor of buyers? In South Central Austin, the answer is yes. With 584 active listings and 92 homes closing in October, the region now holds 5.3 months of inventory. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current stock at the current sales pace, assuming no new listings arrive. A market with less than six months of inventory is generally considered balanced, while anything above six months favors buyers. At 5.3 months, South Central Austin sits on the cusp, but recent trends show a clear shift toward buyer leverage. The median sale price dropped to $488,750, down 15% from the same time last year when prices were $575,000. Additionally, homes are selling faster than they did a year ago, with the median days on market falling by nearly half to just 30 days. ALEX Intelligence classifies this inventory level as leaning toward a buyer's market because the supply is sufficient for buyers to negotiate without rushing. While the pace of sales remains steady, the combination of higher stock levels and lower prices gives purchasers more options and bargaining power than sellers had in previous years. This environment allows buyers to be selective, particularly in neighborhoods like Novel where median prices remain accessible at $405,000. The data reflects a market adjusting to new conditions rather than a crash. With 92 closed sales providing a robust sample size, the trend toward lower prices and higher inventory is statistically significant. Buyers entering this market now can expect more time to evaluate properties and potentially secure deals below original list prices, as nearly 85% of recent sales closed under the initial asking price. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=92
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov