| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
South Central Austin: Is It a Buyer's Market in October?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-06
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $400,000
102 Skyloop DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #4867970
Listed at $335,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,433 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179461586/102-Skyloop-DR-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $400,000 to $538,000
6300 Merriwood DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #2812374
Listed at $425,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,481 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175183718/6300-Merriwood-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $538,000 to $865,000
4803 Philco DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #9045959
Listed at $800,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,463 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 27% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173309950/4803-Philco-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $865,000 and up
4412 Banister LN # 1, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #2369692
Listed at $995,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,601 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185920424/4412-Banister-LN-1-Austin-TX
Key figures · South Central Austin · October 2026
- 92 homes sold in South Central Austin in October 2026 (down 5.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $488,750 (down 15.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $357.
- Median days on market: 30.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.1%.
- 584 homes for sale now, about 5.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the market tipping in favor of buyers? In South Central Austin, the answer is yes. With 584 active listings and 92 homes closing in October, the region now holds 5.3 months of inventory. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current stock at the current sales pace, assuming no new listings arrive.
A market with less than six months of inventory is generally considered balanced, while anything above six months favors buyers. At 5.3 months, South Central Austin sits on the cusp, but recent trends show a clear shift toward buyer leverage. The median sale price dropped to $488,750, down 15% from the same time last year when prices were $575,000. Additionally, homes are selling faster than they did a year ago, with the median days on market falling by nearly half to just 30 days.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this inventory level as leaning toward a buyer's market because the supply is sufficient for buyers to negotiate without rushing. While the pace of sales remains steady, the combination of higher stock levels and lower prices gives purchasers more options and bargaining power than sellers had in previous years. This environment allows buyers to be selective, particularly in neighborhoods like Novel where median prices remain accessible at $405,000.
The data reflects a market adjusting to new conditions rather than a crash. With 92 closed sales providing a robust sample size, the trend toward lower prices and higher inventory is statistically significant. Buyers entering this market now can expect more time to evaluate properties and potentially secure deals below original list prices, as nearly 85% of recent sales closed under the initial asking price.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=92
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










