Mueller List-to-Sale Ratios Explain Price Reality

Deal of the Week

3820 Hermalinda ST, Austin TX 78723
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $695,000 3820 Hermalinda ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #7916983 Listed at $649,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,252 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189208772/3820-Hermalinda-ST-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $695,000 to $854,000 3917 Vaughan ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #2944991 Listed at $745,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,964 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185603603/3917-Vaughan-ST-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $854,000 to $999,000 2509 Robert Browning ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #5711084 Listed at $854,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,026 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185172102/2509-Robert-Browning-ST-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $999,000 and up 3604 Tom Miller ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #8335968 Listed at $2,385,000, 5 bed, 5 bath, 3,954 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184019836/3604-Tom-Miller-ST-Austin-TX

Key figures · Mueller · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does a 97.7% list-to-sale ratio actually mean for buyers and sellers in Mueller? In the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, homes sold for an average of $841,683, which was 97.7% of their original asking price across 56 closed sales. This figure represents a slight improvement over the prior six-month period and marks a shift from the deeper discounts seen a year ago. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to determine how much negotiation space remains in this market. The median close-to-original-list ratio rose to 0.977, up from 0.973 in the prior six months and 0.968 a year ago. Simultaneously, the share of homes selling below their original list price dropped to 69.6%, down from 78.4% previously and 83.3% a year earlier. This trend suggests that while sellers are still accepting less than their initial ask, the gap is narrowing. The median days on market also fell significantly to 17 days, indicating faster movement for properties priced correctly. With 56 closed sales providing a robust sample size, the data confirms that price realism at listing time has become the primary driver of success in Mueller's active community. The analysis relies on actual transaction records rather than asking prices alone, offering a clear view of what buyers are actually paying relative to what sellers initially requested. As inventory levels stabilize, the ability to command closer to list price continues to depend on accurate initial pricing strategies. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=56
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov