| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Goodnight Ranch Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-09
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $361,000
9314 Cattle Baron PATH, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #6168232
Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,533 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191139511/9314-Cattle-Baron-PATH-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $361,000 to $384,000
6317 Lautner LN, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #9345531
Listed at $364,990, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,747 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185326767/6317-Lautner-LN-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $384,000 to $405,000
5912 Corrine LN, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #8841830
Listed at $395,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,533 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191843698/5912-Corrine-LN-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $405,000 and up
6313 Stockman DR, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #9121262
Listed at $445,998, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,158 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183370525/6313-Stockman-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Goodnight Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 16 homes sold in Goodnight Ranch in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 15.8% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $407,825 (down 5.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $198.
- Median days on market: 63.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.5%.
- 45 homes for sale now, about 10.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it cost to buy an entry-level home in Goodnight Ranch today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales reached $407,825 across 16 closed homes in the rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026. This figure represents the affordability baseline for buyers entering this Austin-area community.
ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability model using current market rates to estimate monthly costs. With a 7.18% mortgage rate sourced from Freddie Mac's week of Nov 5, 2026, and a loan amount of $326,260, the principal and interest on a median entry-level purchase comes to $2,210 per month. This calculation is based on the median sale price provided in the data.
The market has shown resilience despite rate fluctuations. The median price per square foot rose 7.9% compared to the prior six-month period, reaching $198.24 across 16 sales. Homes are selling faster than before, with median days on market dropping 30.8% to 63 days. However, 87.5% of these entry-level transactions closed below the original list price, indicating that buyers still have negotiation room.
For those considering a buydown to lower initial payments, a 3-2-1 buydown would cost approximately $15,072 (3.7% of the price) to reduce the rate to 4.18% in year one. A 2-1 buydown offers a lower upfront cost of $7,656 (1.88% of the price). These figures are estimates based on median data and do not constitute an appraisal or financial advice.
The current inventory of 45 active listings suggests a balanced environment for entry-level buyers willing to act within these price parameters.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=16
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










