| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Llano County Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-13
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $360,000
1626 Cree TRL, Kingsland TX 78639 · MLS #9276664
Listed at $289,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,200 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 41% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187057284/1626-Cree-TRL-Kingsland-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $360,000 to $583,000
204 Mountain Home RD, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3136332
Listed at $559,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,979 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178686030/204-Mountain-Home-RD-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $583,000 to $1,165,000
214 Island Lodges DR, Buchanan Dam TX 78609 · MLS #9019904
Listed at $649,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 2,100 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1167870233/214-Island-Lodges-DR-Buchanan-Dam-TX
Upper quartile: $1,165,000 and up
104 Orange Plume, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #8799377
Listed at $2,349,000, 4 bed, 4 bath, 5,612 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180162789/104-Orange-Plume-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Key figures · Llano County · October 2026
- 22 homes sold in Llano County in October 2026 (up 4.8% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $542,500 (up 7.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $267.
- Median days on market: 131.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 83.5%.
- 285 homes for sale now, about 10.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Llano County today? With the median closing price at $542,500 across 22 closed sales in October, and mortgage rates at 7.11%, affordability requires careful calculation of monthly payments against income.
ALEX Intelligence applied a standard affordability model using the current median price, a loan amount of $434,000, and the prevailing 30-year fixed rate to estimate buyer costs. For a home priced at $542,500, the principal and interest payment alone is approximately $2,920 per month. This figure represents the baseline cost of financing before taxes, insurance, or maintenance.
The data shows that while prices have risen 7.4% compared to October last year, the number of closed sales remains steady at 22. The median price per square foot has also increased by 12.5% year-over-year to $267.12. However, the market has cooled slightly on the listing side, with homes selling for 4.5% less of their original list price compared to the prior month.
Buyers should note that 90.9% of these sales closed below the original list price, indicating significant negotiation room. With 10.7 months of inventory currently available, buyers have more leverage than in a seller's market. The median living area for these entry-level transactions is 2,098 square feet, slightly smaller than the prior month but larger than last year's average.
While buydowns can reduce initial payments—such as a 3-2-1 buydown costing roughly $20,016 to lower rates in the first three years—the base cost of entry remains high relative to historical norms. This analysis is an ALEX Intelligence estimate based on current market data and is not an appraisal.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=22
Cover photo: Wildflowers on ranchland, Llano County by William L. Farr, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










