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La Cima Months of Inventory: Who Has the Power?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-30
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $361,000
119 Horseherb WAY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #1323391
Listed at $339,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,980 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184509147/119-Horseherb-WAY-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $361,000 to $458,000
427 Fountain Grass DR, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #7400531
Listed at $394,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,982 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1167910208/427-Fountain-Grass-DR-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $458,000 to $560,000
237 Crabapple CT, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #2695708
Listed at $549,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,112 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187075005/237-Crabapple-CT-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $560,000 and up
232 Knockout Rose DR, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #9352438
Listed at $649,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,411 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184899036/232-Knockout-Rose-DR-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · La Cima · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 43 homes sold in La Cima in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 34.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $482,110 (up 3.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $195.
- Median days on market: 71.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.5%.
- 59 homes for sale now, about 7.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
La Cima currently holds 7.87 months of inventory based on the pace of sales over the last six months. This figure is calculated by dividing the 59 active listings available today by the average monthly closing rate derived from the 43 closed sales in the rolling window.
In real estate analytics, a market with more than six months of inventory is classified as a buyer's market. This means there are significantly more homes for sale than there are active buyers ready to close deals. The data confirms this dynamic: median days on market have stretched to 71 days, which represents a -27.6% change from the prior six-month period and a -46.2% change compared to the same window a year ago.
Buyers in La Cima can expect to negotiate more aggressively. The median sale price reached $482,110, up 20.3% from the prior period, yet 86% of homes sold below their original list price. This indicates that while prices remain elevated due to new construction volume, sellers are frequently adjusting expectations to move inventory.
ALEX Intelligence analyzes this supply gap to determine market leverage. With nearly eight months of stock on hand, the balance of power has shifted decisively toward purchasers who can take their time and select from a growing pool of options without facing immediate bidding wars.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=43 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










