La Cima Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend in October

Is the La Cima market cooling down? A composite heat score of 42 out of 100 suggests a shift in momentum for this master-planned community. The score is calculated by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, homes took an average of 71 days to sell, a significant increase from the prior period but still faster than the same window last year. The median sale price rose 20.3% compared to the previous six months, reaching $482,110 across 43 closed sales. However, the market is showing signs of softening; 86% of homes sold below their original list price, and active inventory stands at 61 homes, creating roughly 8.1 months of supply. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these metrics to generate a heat score that contextualizes current conditions against historical norms. While prices remain elevated compared to last year, the combination of rising days on market and high inventory suggests buyers now have more negotiating power than sellers. The median price per square foot sits at $195, reflecting steady value despite the slower pace of sales. This data-driven assessment indicates a transition from a seller-favorable environment to a balanced or slightly buyer-leaning market. Prospective buyers should note that while prices are up year-over-year, the extended time on market and high inventory levels provide opportunities for negotiation. The current 7.32% mortgage rate further influences affordability, making strategic pricing essential for sellers in this cooling phase. Want more detail on La Cima? Ask George for the full neighborhood report. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951