Cottonwood Creek: New Listings vs. Closings in Rolling 12 Months

In Cottonwood Creek, San Marcos, a widening gap between new supply and actual closings is reshaping the market balance. Over the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, 59 new listings entered the market while only 56 homes successfully closed. This divergence marks a shift from the prior period, where 108 new listings met 65 closings, indicating that fresh inventory is now arriving at a slower pace relative to sales activity. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis supply and demand trends using this rolling window data. The current ratio of 59 new listings to 56 closed sales suggests a tightening of immediate availability compared to the previous year's volume. While the number of closings dropped from 65 in the prior period to 56 now, the influx of new homes has also slowed significantly, dropping from 108 to 59. This dynamic impacts how quickly properties move. The median days on market increased by 15.9% compared to the prior period, reaching 80 days. Simultaneously, the median close price fell 8.0% to $254,946, and the share of homes selling below original list price rose to 89.3%. With 56 closed sales recorded across this window, the data reflects a market where supply growth has decelerated alongside a cooling in transaction volume. Looking to buy in Cottonwood Creek, San Marcos? Get new listings the day they hit the market. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog