| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Sunset Oaks: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $250,000
658 Soapstone PASS, San Marcos TX 78656 · MLS #6697354
Listed at $244,600, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,566 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518011/658-Soapstone-PASS-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $250,000 to $270,000
354 Low Pasture TRL, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5636225
Listed at $250,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 996 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185693058/354-Low-Pasture-TRL-Maxwell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $270,000 to $304,000
607 Lagoon DR, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #2962723
Listed at $280,242, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,121 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187977813/607-Lagoon-DR-Maxwell-TX
Upper quartile: $304,000 and up
385 Silent Meadow RUN, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #6433500
Listed at $305,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,919 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187014455/385-Silent-Meadow-RUN-Maxwell-TX
Key figures · Sunset Oaks · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 40 homes sold in Sunset Oaks in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 59.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $269,745 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $158.
- Median days on market: 19.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 98.2%.
- 57 homes for sale now, about 8.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
New supply is outpacing demand in Sunset Oaks over the last six months. A total of 63 new listings entered the market while only 40 homes successfully closed, creating a visible gap between incoming inventory and completed transactions. This divergence defines the current balance of power for buyers and sellers in this Hays County community.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis supply and demand trends to quantify this shift. The ratio of new listings to closings stands at roughly 1.6 to 1, indicating that fresh inventory is arriving faster than it is being absorbed by the market. This dynamic often leads to increased competition among sellers as they vie for a limited pool of active buyers.
The data also reveals a tightening market compared to the prior six-month period. Median days on market dropped by 20.8% to just 19 days, while the median close-to-original list ratio improved by 4.5%. These metrics suggest that despite the higher volume of new listings, homes are selling faster and closer to their asking prices than they did in the previous half-year window.
The sample size for this analysis includes 40 closed sales and 63 new listings over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026. This volume provides a reliable view of current market velocity without relying on single-month fluctuations. The trend highlights a market where supply is growing, yet buyer urgency remains high enough to drive quick sales for well-priced properties.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=40 closed sales and n=63 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










