| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Kyle Waterleaf vs. Region: Price Gaps and Market Speed
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-13
Key figures · Waterleaf, Kyle · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 30 homes sold in Waterleaf, Kyle in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 21.1% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $261,700 (down 7.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $128.
- Median days on market: 68.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.5%.
- 15 homes for sale now, about 4.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How does the Kyle Waterleaf market compare to its broader region? The data shows a distinct price gap and slower movement for this specific community. Over the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, median closed prices in Waterleaf reached $261,700 across 30 sales. This figure is lower than the regional median of $397,889 and the Hays County median of $360,408.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the speed of transactions to determine market heat. Waterleaf homes spent a median of 68 days on market, which is slightly faster than the 80-day average for Hays County but comparable to the regional 66-day pace. The ratio of final sale price to original list price was 94.5%, indicating that most sellers accepted offers below their initial asking price. This aligns with the regional trend where 83.2% of sales closed below list, compared to 66.7% in Waterleaf.
Inventory levels suggest a balanced environment. With 15 active listings and roughly four months of inventory on hand, the market is neither heavily skewed toward buyers nor sellers. The median price per square foot in Waterleaf was $128.19, notably lower than the regional average of $197.57. While new construction sales were not recorded in this specific window for Waterleaf, the broader region saw 359 such closings.
Current mortgage rates stand at 7.11% according to Freddie Mac data from the week of November 12, 2026. This rate environment influences affordability calculations for buyers entering a market where median prices have declined 7.3% compared to the prior period. The data reflects a community that offers entry-level pricing relative to its neighbors while maintaining steady transaction velocity.
Want more detail on Waterleaf, Kyle? Ask George for the full neighborhood report.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=30; regional benchmarks from Unlock MLS.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




