| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Crosswinds: How List-to-Sale Ratios Shifted in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-05
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $331,000
331 Windswept WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #1435172
Listed at $303,050, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,975 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183759753/331-Windswept-WAY-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $331,000 to $355,000
224 Backstays LOOP, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4036892
Listed at $338,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,072 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517817/224-Backstays-LOOP-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $355,000 to $408,000
349 Elephant Island LOOP, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #8624390
Listed at $359,999, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,512 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189754218/349-Elephant-Island-LOOP-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $408,000 and up
609 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #2981178
Listed at $424,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,293 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182515822/609-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Crosswinds · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 39 homes sold in Crosswinds in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 35.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $355,000 (down 5.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $179.
- Median days on market: 91.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.7%.
- 65 homes for sale now, about 10.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 91.7% list-to-sale ratio mean for buyers and sellers in Crosswinds? This figure represents the final sale price as a percentage of the original listing price, calculated across 39 closed sales in the rolling six-month period ending October 31, 2026.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original asking prices and final closing figures to determine how much negotiation space remains in this market. The median close-to-original list ratio for Crosswinds stands at 91.7%, up from 90.2% in the prior six-month period. This indicates that homes are selling closer to their initial price tags than they did previously, even though the median sale price of $355,000 remained unchanged during this comparison.
The data shows a shift in buyer behavior or pricing strategy. While 76.9% of these sales closed below the original list price, that share has dropped significantly compared to the prior period's 92.9%. This suggests that sellers may be listing more aggressively, or buyers are accepting offers closer to the asking price more frequently than before.
Over the same window, the median price per square foot rose 2.9% to $179, and homes spent an average of 91 days on market, a 12.5% decrease from the prior period. These metrics combined suggest a market where pricing is stabilizing relative to list prices, even as inventory levels remain high with 10 months of supply available.
For those tracking affordability, the median home size increased 3.4% to 2,187 square feet, potentially offsetting some price pressure through larger living areas. The data reflects a market in transition where the gap between asking and selling prices is narrowing, though homes still sell for less than their original list price on average.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=39
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










