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Crosswinds List-to-Sale Ratios Explain Price Reality
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $334,000
173 Queen Topsail WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7278153
Listed at $326,508, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,353 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520026/173-Queen-Topsail-WAY-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $355,000
200 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #3087916
Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,500 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189490450/200-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $355,000 to $412,000
258 Reef Band DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9280960
Listed at $409,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,379 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184857993/258-Reef-Band-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $412,000 and up
434 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9675608
Listed at $589,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,393 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179503991/434-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Crosswinds · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 44 homes sold in Crosswinds in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 36.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $351,294 (down 6.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $179.
- Median days on market: 96.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.8%.
- 66 homes for sale now, about 8.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Crosswinds, buyers are negotiating prices down from the asking amount. The median home sold for $351,294, which represents 91.8% of the original list price across 44 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. This metric, known as the list-to-sale ratio, reveals how much of the initial asking price sellers actually receive upon closing.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics to show that 79.5% of these transactions closed below the original list price. While this figure is lower than the 92.3% seen in the prior six-month period, it remains higher than the 88.4% recorded during the same window last year. The median ratio of 0.918 indicates that buyers successfully secured a discount on most properties, though the gap between list and sale price has narrowed slightly compared to the previous half-year.
The data also shows a shift in pricing power over time. Compared to the prior period, the list-to-sale ratio improved by 2.5%, suggesting sellers are holding their ground better than before. However, when viewed against last year's data, the ratio is down 0.6%, reflecting a market where buyers have more leverage to negotiate below the sticker price. This trend highlights the importance of understanding local negotiation patterns rather than relying solely on listing prices.
The median sale price per square foot rose to $179, up 1.7% from the prior period but down 5.8% from last year. These figures demonstrate that while homes are selling for a slightly higher percentage of their list price recently, the overall value per square foot has decreased compared to the previous year.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=44
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










