| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap in 6 Creeks
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-12
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $450,000
159 Coyote Creek WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9837073
Listed at $425,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,388 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191872661/159-Coyote-Creek-WAY-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $450,000 to $496,000
533 Prickly Poppy LOOP, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9080005
Listed at $469,990, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,713 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179413565/533-Prickly-Poppy-LOOP-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $496,000 to $580,000
283 Painted Creek WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4749015
Listed at $525,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,895 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177437477/283-Painted-Creek-WAY-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $580,000 and up
133 Bedford RUN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7549645
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,895 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 21% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184916117/133-Bedford-RUN-Kyle-TX
Key figures · 6 Creeks · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 80 homes sold in 6 Creeks in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 23.8% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $488,140 (down 9.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $193.
- Median days on market: 126.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.
- 76 homes for sale now, about 5.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the housing supply in 6 Creeks tightening or expanding? Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, the market saw 104 new listings enter the area while 80 homes completed their sale. This difference between new supply and demand creates a measurable gap that influences pricing and availability for buyers and sellers.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closed sales to quantify this dynamic. In this period, the volume of new inventory (104) exceeded the number of transactions (80), indicating that fresh supply is outpacing current absorption rates. This pattern suggests a gradual accumulation of available homes rather than a rapid depletion of stock.
The median close price for these 80 sales was $488,140, with properties spending an average of 126 days on the market before closing. While new construction accounted for 48 of the closed sales, the overall trend shows that the influx of new listings is keeping pace with, and slightly exceeding, the rate at which homes are selling. This balance helps stabilize prices, though the median price per square foot saw a slight decline of 0.7% compared to the prior six-month period.
For sellers, this data implies that while demand remains active, the market is not experiencing a severe shortage of inventory. For buyers, the presence of 104 new listings against 80 closings suggests continued options without the intense competition seen in tighter markets. The supply gap remains positive, favoring a balanced environment where neither side holds overwhelming leverage.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS listing and closed-sale activity, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=80 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










