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6 Creeks Market Heat Score: What the Data Says
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $449,000
366 Cold River RUN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9546474
Listed at $349,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,644 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521140/366-Cold-River-RUN-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $449,000 to $496,000
128 Fawn River RUN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #6201518
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,714 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187653074/128-Fawn-River-RUN-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $496,000 to $580,000
177 Bedford RUN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #2166024
Listed at $572,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,776 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184914732/177-Bedford-RUN-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $580,000 and up
149 Bedford RUN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9016557
Listed at $724,900, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,619 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185969171/149-Bedford-RUN-Kyle-TX
Key figures · 6 Creeks · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 81 homes sold in 6 Creeks in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 22.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $499,990 (down 8.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $197.
- Median days on market: 114.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.
- 73 homes for sale now, about 5.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How fast is the 6 Creeks market moving compared to six months ago? The data shows a distinct shift in momentum, with homes spending significantly less time on the market while prices remain resilient.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score for this community using four key indicators: days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reduction frequency. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, median days on market fell to 114 days, down 29.2% from the prior period of 161 days. This speed-up suggests increased buyer urgency or a tightening supply relative to demand.
Simultaneously, the median close-to-original list ratio improved to 0.906, up 5.5% from the previous period, indicating that sellers are retaining more of their asking price than before. However, the market remains balanced rather than a seller's frenzy; months of inventory stand at 5.41, and 93.8% of sales closed below the original list price. The median sale price held steady at $499,990, just 0.9% higher than the prior six-month window, despite being 8.8% lower than the same period last year.
This composite analysis reflects a market that has cooled from its peak but is currently stabilizing with faster turnover and improved price retention compared to early in the cycle. The score integrates these competing signals to provide a single metric of current market conditions for buyers and sellers in 6 Creeks.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=81
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










