Hays County Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 133 Maverick Ave, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4860903 · Listed by First Texas Brokerage Company. ALEX valuation $282,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $285,000 133 Maverick Ave, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4860903 Listed at $259,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,592 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524151/133-Maverick-Ave-Kyle-TX Lower-middle quartile: $285,000 to $373,000 50 Whispering Valley DR, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #7492904 Listed at $319,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,400 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187839117/50-Whispering-Valley-DR-Wimberley-TX Upper-middle quartile: $373,000 to $553,000 289 Serene Hollow LN, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3770568 Listed at $385,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,709 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184471251/289-Serene-Hollow-LN-Buda-TX Upper quartile: $553,000 and up 605 Bird HOLW, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #1678455 Listed at $999,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,798 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187416258/605-Bird-HOLW-Austin-TX

Key figures · Hays County · October 2026

274 homes sold in Hays County in October 2026 (down 13.6% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $380,950 (down 2.8% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $186.

Median days on market: 69.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.7%.

1,902 homes for sale now, about 5.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Hays County today? The bottom quartile of sales in October 2026 had a median price of $380,950 across 274 closed transactions. At the current mortgage rate of 7.24% (Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 29, 2026), a buyer faces a principal and interest payment of $2,077 per month for a loan amount of $304,760. ALEX Intelligence calculated this affordability scenario using the median entry-level price and current market rates to show the monthly cost for first-time buyers. This figure represents the baseline payment required to enter the market at the bottom quartile price point. While prices rose 3.0% from September, they remain 2.8% below the October 2025 level, suggesting a complex balance between affordability and demand. The median home size for these entry-level transactions was 2,080 square feet. Buyers should note that 16.2% fewer homes closed in October compared to September, while inventory levels remain steady with 1,902 active listings. This data reflects the current state of the market for those seeking the most affordable options available in Hays County. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.

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